* FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player‘s future performance. Joel Embiid, Al Horford and Tobias Harris are all making more than $27 million, but RAPTOR thinks none of those three has been more productive than either of the Heat’s young duo. Close. The 1969-70 season was a great one for New York basketball. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. According to fivethirtyeight's new NBA model 'RAPTOR', 2018-19 Collin Sexton had the worst individual season on record since the NBA/ABA merger (out of 17,484 total player seasons). Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. 736. These "modern" data files contain the boxscore and on/off plus-minus components of RAPTOR, which are then combined into a total RAPTOR rating. 538 introduced their new RAPTOR rating system today. This rating combines player tracking data, play by play data, traditional box score data, and plus minus data to create a new all-in-one metric. Led by Willis Reed, Walt Frazier and Dave DeBusschere, the Knicks were 23-1 through Nov. 28 and hit an Elo rating of 1712 — the highest in franchise history. This is the first time all of these information sources have been combined publicly in a single metric. The fivethirtyeight package was featured in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. Filed under NBA. All posts tagged “RAPTOR” Nov. 11, 2019 ... Vegas Thinks The NBA Title Race Is As Wide Open As It’s Been In A Long Time By Greg Guglielmo. nba-raptor. This table contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR.. modern_RAPTOR_by_player.csv contains RAPTOR data for every player broken out by season since 2014, when NBA player-tracking data first became available.. modern_RAPTOR_by_team.csv contains RAPTOR … How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. `modern_RAPTOR_by_team.csv` contains RAPTOR data for every player broken out by team, season, and season_type since 2014, when NBA player-tracking data first became available. We use analytics cookies to understand how you use our websites so we can make them better, e.g. The Knicks Peaked A Long Time Ago. 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